NFL Week 11 Free Picks

Miami Dolphins +3 (+115)
Total 42½
Carolina Panthers -3 (-135)
Ronnie Brown is gone for the season, which means the Dolphins run game is squarely on the shoulders of Ricky Williams. Williams have made a nice comeback after a few misadventures but right now the Panthers tandem of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart are in top form. Delhomme is taking care of the ball and those two factors will be the key to a Panthers win.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Carolina

Cleveland Browns +3½
Total 38
Detroit Lions -3½
Really if you bet on either of these teams you have a problem but if you bet on the Lions your problems aren’t as great but you still have problems.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Lions, I guess.

Buffalo Bills +9 (-115)
Total 43
Jacksonville Jaguars -9 (-105)
The Jags are playing very well, Maurice Jones-Drew is on fire. It’s hard to know what to expect from the Bills after firing head coach Dick Jauron this week. If Jauron was the problem the Bills will cover but if the problem lay with the players then this will be a blow out. I think it’s a little of both so the Jags will win by 10.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Jacksonville

Pittsburgh Steelers -10 (-115)
Total 40
Kansas City Chiefs +10 (-105)
The Steelers were unable to find the end zone last week against the Bengals, I don’t think it will be a problem this week. A Chiefs fan said to me after their blowout loss to the Titans “I wish Todd Haley would wear a Peyton Manning Jersey.”
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Pittsburgh

Indianapolis Colts -1
Total 40
Baltimore Ravens +1
The Colts got a gift last week from the Patriots and their unbeaten streak continues. The Ravens will be without star linebacker Terrell Suggs after a Brady Quinn chop block injured his knee. This line isn’t up at most shops because of various injuries but BetUS is hanging the -1 and it looks too good to not take.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Indianapolis for whatever is left in my wallet.

Atlanta Falcons +7
Total 46
New York Giants -7
The Giants has lost 4 straight, while the Falcons Matt Ryan has been inconsistent and might be without top rusher Michael Turner. Be careful with this game, if Turner can play the Falcons should cover but without the Giants are the play.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Wait till game time.

San Francisco 49ers +7 (-115)
Total 42
Green Bay Packers -7 (-105)
The Packers are 11-4 all time against the 49ers at Lambeau. Like every other Packer game this season the key victory will depend on the Packers ability to protect Aaron Rodgers. I don’t like those chances. The 49ers defense will get to Rodgers often so I’m taking the 49ers in this one.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: San Francisco

Seattle Seahawks +11 (-115)
Total 46
Minnesota Vikings -11 (-105)
Old man Brett has 17 TDs and only 3 interceptions. The Vikings defensive line will punish the Seahawks O-line. Seattle may keep this one close for a couple of quarters but the Seahawks aren’t prepared to take this kind of punishment.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Minnesota

Washington Redskins +11
Total 41½
Dallas Cowboys -11
Washington got back on the winning track last week with a big win over the Broncos. The reason I’m leaning towards the Redskins is that their pass rush will get to Romo and force him to throw some bad passes. When Romo makes bad passes the results aren’t good for the Cowboys.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Washington, take the Points

New Orleans Saints -11 (-115)
Total 51
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +11 (-105)
The Saints have a lot of injuries on the defense and they have been giving the ball away too often, 16 turnovers in the past 4 games. Jose Freeman looks good, very good. The problem for the Bucs is they can’t afford to get into a shootout with the Saints and that’s exactly what the Saints will do.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: New Orleans

Arizona Cardinals -9
Total 47
St. Louis Rams +9
The Cardinals have a chance to go 5-0 on the road for the first time in 61 years. The running game has stepped it up for Arizona and that will be the difference.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Arizona

New York Jets +10½ (-105)
Total 45
New England Patriots -10½ (-115)
The Jets will be the unfortunate victims of Bill Belichick’s mistake last week against the Colts. I like the over and the Patriots.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: New England

Cincinnati Bengals -10 (EVEN)
Total 36
Oakland Raiders +10 (-120)
Larry Johnson was a nice addition but he won’t be a factor in the outcome. JaMarcus Russell will be on the bench this week and it’s a good spot for him. The only way I see Oakland keeping this close is if Cincy comes out with a letdown game but it’s not likely.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Cincinnati

San Diego Chargers
Denver Broncos
There is no line on this game as we wait word on Kyle Orton. If Orton can’t go the Chargers will be big favorites.

Philadelphia Eagles -3
Total 45
Chicago Bears +3
Brian Westbrook might be gone for this game and possibly for the rest of his career because of several concussions. This will force the Eagles to rely on LeSean McCoy, McCoy is good but he’s not Brian Westbrook. If Jay Cutler can learn to throw the ball away or take the sack when he is pressured the Bears stand a chance but I don’t think he’ll learn it this season.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Philadelphia

Tennessee Titans +4½
Total 48
Houston Texans -4½
Houston will be focused after a week off to think about their loss to the Colts. The Titans defense is improved but it’s still suspect on the corners. Matt Shuab should be licking his lips. The Titans will run the Texans will pass and the Texans will win but the Titans will cover.
Sportsbook Veteran NFL Free Pick: Tennessee