NFL Free Picks Week 3

After Jimmy’s dreadful week two free picks, the Sportsbook Veteran team decided to let our Senior Editor Big Bill McTavish make our free NFL picks this week. Good luck Bill.

Washington at Detroit (+6)

Everyone and their dog is on Detroit this week, Sports Writers, TV experts, the general public, seriously everyone outside of Jim Zorn’s family is picking the Lions to win this week. One thing I have learned about betting from being in the industry for over a decade. When in doubt fade the public.

My pick: Washington

Green Bay at St. Louis (+6.5)

St. Louis is an awful team, period. The Bengals caught Green Bay last week but I do not expect it to happen this week.

My pick: Green Bay

San Francisco at Minnesota (-7)

San Francisco is a team that will be punching above their weight all season and that is exactly how Mike Singletary likes it. Adrian Peterson is a little banged up this week so the Vikings run game should not be the deciding factor in this one.

My pick: San Francisco

Atlanta at New England (-4)

I know we aren’t supposed to let biases come into sports betting and I will do my best to keep my Tom Brady fandom out of my decision. Tom Brady will find his legs this season and the Patriots will put together a string of wins but I think it comes this week versus the Falcons. The Pats lack of run D should allow Michael turner to break out.

My pick: Atlanta

Tennessee at New York Jets (-3)

It has become obvious how much the Titans are missing Albert Haynesworth and former defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz. They haven’t been able to stop the Steelers or the Texans. The Jets haven’t allowed a touchdown yet this season. The no TD streak ends this week but the win streak continues.

My pick: New York Jets

Kansas City at Philadelphia (-9)

KC looked ugly versus the lowly Raiders last week; take your cousin to the prom ugly. Seriously -9 when they are missing McNabb. Also some guy name Vick returns, he had some legal trouble or something, Google it.
My Pick: Philadelphia

New York Giants at Tampa Bay (+6.5)

Tampa continues its March to 0-16, the fact the line is only 6½ and not 7 is ridiculously sexy. Megan Fox sexy.

My pick: New York Giants

Cleveland at Baltimore (-13)

Cleveland won’t get the ball past the 50 in the first half (don’t bet it). The Baltimore will dominate both sides in this one. The touchdown and two field goal spread is the bookmakers way of being polite.

My pick: Baltimore

Jacksonville at Houston (-3.5)

I still haven’t drunk the Texans Kool-Aid and I’m leaning towards the Jags to cover the 3½ in this one. The Texans run defense lacks consistency. They are prone to give up big runs the Maurice Jones-Drew can provide. I may get egg on my face for this one but…

My pick: Jacksonville

New Orleans at Buffalo (+6)

I wouldn’t bet against Drew Brees right now, especially when the line is under a touchdown. Buffalo’s ace in the hole is the fall weather in upstate New York. The weatherman is calling for 15mph winds and rain. Of course, we know how smart weathermen are.

My pick: New Orleans

Chicago at Seattle (+2)

Matt Hasselbeck is hurt and according to experts, it’s hard to throw the ball with cracked ribs. If Cutler can find his receivers more than the defensive backs, the Bears are gold in this matchup.

My pick: Chicago

4:15 p.m. ET

Miami at San Diego (-6)

The Dolphins can win this if they could effectively master the play action pass. First or second down send the receivers deep, fake the run and have your QB Chad Pennington launch a bomb deep down fei…sorry I couldn’t finish that sentence. Chad Pennington doesn’t have the arm to launch anything deep.

My pick: San Diego

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (+4)

Both are 1-1, both teams losses were games they should have won. The Steelers should win this one and I think the football gods right the ship here. What’s supposed to happen actually happens.

My pick: Pittsburgh

Denver at Oakland (+2)

Denver’s defense will eat JaMarcus Russell alive. I’m sure Tom Cable wishes he tried harder to keep Jeff Garcia around for a few more weeks.

My pick: Denver

Indianapolis at Arizona (-2.5)

Peyton Manning only needed 15:07 minutes of ball time to beat the Cardinals. Maybe I’m reading too much in to the Larry Fitzgerald – Kurt Warner arguments but I think Indy takes this in a laugher.

My pick: Indianapolis

Monday night

Carolina at Dallas (-8.5)

People in Dallas are calling for Tony Romo’s head because it appears he’s not waiting until the playoffs before he melts down.

My pick: Carolina